BISS - Business Institute Solar Strategy

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Solar Market Model

How much will the demand for PV really grow?

The "European Photovoltaic Industry Association (EPIA)" estimates that the supply capacity of PV in 2010, including thin-layer technology, will grow to 16 to 20 gigawatts. It is important for the industry to know which markets can absorb the quantities and what price will be necessary to ensure that the supplies are purchased. Germany, which currently represents 50 percent of worldwide demand, plays an important role in these considerations. In order to determine the areas in which a balance is possible between supply and demand in Germany, BISS has developed the Solar Market Model (SOMA). It forecasts demand development and, for this purpose, relies on the simulation of the following factors: